As the calendar turned to 2023, transacting real estate in British Columbia became a lot more complicated. Having dealt with a City of Vancouver Empty Homes Tax, the provincial Speculation and Vacancy Tax and a provincial foreign buyer’s tax, we now have a provincial 3 Day Home Buyer Rescission Period, a two-year ban on foreign buyers across Canada, a national Underused Homes Tax – essentially a Canada wide empty homes tax for foreign owned properties and a national anti-flipping tax which would see any profits for sales within a year of purchase taxed as business income.
If your new years resolution was more government regulation, you got it! All these policies focus on the demand side of the transaction and guess what – they don’t and wont work! We started the year yet again with an extremely low level of active listings, and so far, that’s not changing. While sales are slow to start the year, we are only two weeks in and rescission or not, buyers are out shopping. Will they find more homes stocked on the shelves as we move through the first part of 2023, that remains an important question.
At the mid-point of January, there have been 334 sales in Greater Vancouver. This is well below the 795 at the mid-point in December and of course below the 788 at the mid-point of January last year, which was a completely different market. If we compare to January 2019, which was coming out of one of the slowest years on record, it was more closely matched with there being 396 sales in January 2019. It’s still early, and the number of sales in January in the second half tend to be more than 3 times what they are in the first two weeks. And if there is a more significant increase in the number of new listings, the number of sales will be that much higher. January 2019 finished with 1,120 sales after a similar start to this month, so it is quite likely we’ll see similar numbers if not more depending on whether sellers come to the market this month. And judging by the comments of REALTORS® over the last two weeks, open houses have been much busier than the fall, listings that were quiet are getting attention and there have been multiple offers occurring on what limited number of homes there are on the market. After sitting through the last few months of the year, some listings are seeing offers come in. Perhaps a sign that buyers are adjusting to the new levels of interest rates and that the pent-up demand is starting to get more active. And most certainly a sign that sellers may want to jump on an early spring market.
At mid-month in Greater Vancouver there have been only 1,379 new listings, which is above the 984 new listings at the mid-point of December but significantly below the 1,639 new listings at the midpoint of January 2022 and much more below the number of new listings of 1,940 at the mid-point of January 2019 – you know, that other slow market period. After seeing active listings drop below 7,000 in Greater Vancouver, there are now 7,294 listings, up, but ever so slightly. A 24% sales-to-listings ratio has helped, but with the few numbers of new listings, it’s not adding much to the well of active listings so far.
While it is too early to recognize trends in any market, North Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Port Moody appear to be the slowest out of the gate for sales. As of the middle of the month, Port Moody only had two sales – and they were condos and North Vancouver had only seen one townhouse sale. Certainly, in the case of Port Moody, the available number of new listings is a contributing factor in the low number of sales. New Westminster is following along the same path for new listings as December, very few and as a result that’s holding back sales. Coquitlam is bucking the trend with a higher pace of new listings so far in January, with the condo segment being the larger supplier of new listings. And with Coquitlam City Council starting its first meeting of 2023 by sending the Polygon proposal for a massive development out for comment that would see 2,835 units built at the Port Moody border, just north of Lougheed Highway, more supply could be on the way This would be like what Marcon Quadreal is planning to build at the corner of Lougheed and Barnet Highway. All while Port Moody is seeing a bid from Wesgroup to rezone 59 single-family homes for a high-density development. There is a focus on development in these two cites – perhaps something others should take note of. And given the lack of listings buyers have to shop from, they can’t come soon enough.
Here’s a summary of the numbers:
Greater Vancouver
334 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 793 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 788 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 977 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 538 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 396 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
1,379 new listings so far in January compared to 984 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 1,639 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 2,185 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 1,924 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 1,940 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 7,294 compared to 5,427 at mid-month in January 2022, and 8,787 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 24% compared to 48% at mid-month in January 2022 and 81% at mid-month in December 2022.
Vancouver West
62 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 157 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 152 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 154 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 89 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 57 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
303 new listings so far in January compared to 194 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 395 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 426 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 178 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 193 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 1,723 compared to 1,637 at mid-month in January 2022, and 2,085 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 20% compared to 48% at mid-month in January 2022 and 81% at mid-month in December 2022.
Vancouver East
41 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 75 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 88 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 97 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 48 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 41 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
144 new listings so far in January compared to 109 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 153 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 236 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 178 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 193 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 793 compared to 652 at mid-month in January 2022, and 979 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 28% compared to 58% at mid-month in January 2022 and 69% at mid-month in December 2022.
North Vancouver
20 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 69 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 49 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 55 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 30 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 31 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
93 new listings so far in January compared to 62 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 82 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 155 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 163 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 151 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 377 compared to 233 at mid-month in January 2022, and 442 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 22% compared to 60% at mid-month in January 2022 and 111% at mid-month in December 2022.
West Vancouver
8 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 28 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 11 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 20 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 10 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 7 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
46 new listings so far in January compared to 145 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 52 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 96 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 91 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 59 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 395 compared to 337 at mid-month in January 2022, and 496 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 17% compared to 21% at mid-month in January 2022 and 76% at mid-month in December 2022.
Richmond
47 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 104 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 130 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 127 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 92 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 49 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
196 new listings so far in January compared to 145 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 266 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 277 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 264 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 293 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 879 compared to 722 at mid-month in January 2022, and 1,048 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 24% compared to 49% at mid-month in January 2022 and 72% at mid-month in December 2022.
Burnaby East
3 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 7 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 6 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 5 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 8 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 3 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
11 new listings so far in January compared to 13 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 11 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 19 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 21 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 22 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 69 compared to 29 at mid-month in January 2022, and 91 at mid-month in December 2022. Sales to listings ratio is at 27% compared to 55% at mid-month in January 2022 and 54% at mid-month in December 2022.
Burnaby North
21 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 46 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 36 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 61 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 38 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 22 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
70 new listings so far in January compared to 58 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 83 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 130 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 99 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 91 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 343 compared to 236 at mid-month in January 2022, and 391 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 30% compared to 43% at mid-month in January 2022 and 79% at mid-month in December 2022.
Burnaby South
15 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 57 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 54 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 72 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 41 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 23 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
66 new listings so far in January compared to 45 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 116 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 136 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 106 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 105 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 324 compared to 264 at mid-month in January 2022, and 835 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 23% compared to 47% at mid-month in January 2022 and 127% at mid-month in December 2022.
New Westminster
15 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 31 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 38 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 36 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 18 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 27 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
37 new listings so far in January compared to 22 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 62 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 100 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 18 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 27 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 203 compared to 145 at mid-month in January 2022, and 264 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 41% compared to 61% at mid-month in January 2022 and 141% at mid-month in December 2022.
Coquitlam
22 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 45 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 64 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 104 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 57 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 27 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
107 new listings so far in January compared to 64 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 91 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 161 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 140 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 144 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 434 compared to 255 at mid-month in January 2022, and 536 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 21% compared to 70% at mid-month in January 2022 and 70% at mid-month in December 2022.
Port Moody
2 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 28 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 19 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 17 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 16 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 10 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
43 new listings so far in January compared to 32 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 25 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 34 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 31 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 25 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 165 compared to 81 at mid-month in January 2022, and 167 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 5% compared to 76% at mid-month in January 2022 and 88% at mid-month in December 2022.
Port Coquitlam
16 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 17 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 19 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 25 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 21 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 16 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
29 new listings so far in January compared to 34 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 44 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 80 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 65 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 67 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 123 compared to 66 at mid-month in January 2022, and 166 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 55% compared to 43% at mid-month in January 2022 and 50% at mid-month in December 2022.
Ladner
5 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 5 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 9 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 7 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 12 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 1 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
18 new listings so far in January compared to 14 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 16 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 15 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 37 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 24 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 72 compared to 34 at mid-month in January 2022, and 86 at mid-month in December 2022. Sales to listings ratio is at 28% compared to 56% at mid-month in January 2022 and 36% at mid-month in December 2022.
Tsawwassen
7 units sold so far in January 2023 compared to 19 units sold at mid-month in December 2022 13 units sold at mid-month in January 2022 16 units sold at mid-month in January 2021 7 units sold at mid-month in January 2020 2 units sold at mid-month in January 2019
21 new listings so far in January compared to 16 new listings at mid-month in December 2022 33 new listings at mid-month in January 2022 43 new listings at mid-month in January 2021 37 new listings at mid-month in January 2020 37 new listings at mid-month in January 2019
Total active listings are at 120 compared to 74 at mid-month in January 2022, and 135 at mid-month in December 2022.
Sales to listings ratio is at 33% compared to 39% at mid-month in January 2022 and 119% at mid-month in December 2022.
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